Oscar Predictions: Round One

Happy New Year! To celebrate 2017 coming to an end, here's the first round of my Oscar predictions. * = Predicted winner.

Picture:

The Big Sick
Call Me By Your Name
Dunkirk
The Florida Project
Get Out*
I, Tonya
Lady Bird
The Post
The Shape of Water
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Director:

Sean Baker - The Florida Project
Guillermo del Toro - The Shape of Water
Greta Gerwig - Lady Bird
Christopher Nolan - Dunkirk*
Jordan Peele - Get Out

Lead Actor:

Timothy Chalamat - Call Me By Your Name
James Franco - The Disaster Artist*
Daniel Kaluuya - Get Out
Gary Oldman - Darkest Hour
Robert Pattinson - Good Time

Lead Actress:

Jessica Chastain - Molly’s Game
Sally Hawkins - The Shape of Water
Frances McDormand - Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Margot Robbie - I, Tonya
Saoirse Ronan - Lady Bird*

Sup. Actor:

Willem Dafoe - The Florida Project
Armie Hammer - Call Me By Your Name
Richard Jenkins - The Shape of Water
Sam Rockwell - Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri*
Michael Stuhlbarg - Call Me By Your Name

Sup. Actress:

Mary J. Blige - Mundbound
Hong Chau - Downsizing
Holly Hunter - The Big Sick
Allison Janney - I, Tonya
Laurie Metcalf - Lady Bird*

Original Screenplay:

The Big Sick
Get Out*
Lady Bird
The Shape of Water
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Adapted Screenplay:

The Beguiled
Call Me By Your Name*
The Disaster Artist
Molly’s Game
Mudbound

Production Design:

Blade Runner 2049
Dunkirk
Get Out
Phantom Thread
The Shape of Water*

Cinematography:

Blade Runner 2049*
Call Me By Your Name
Dunkirk
Mudbound
The Shape of Water

Costume Design:

Beauty and the Beast
Dunkirk
Phantom Thread*
The Shape of Water
Wonder Woman

Film Editing:

Baby Driver
Dunkirk*
Good Time
I, Tonya
The Shape of Water

Hair/Makeup:

Darkest Hour
I, Tonya*
Wonder

Sound Editing:

Blade Runner 2049
Darkest Hour
Dunkirk*
Logan
War for the Planet of the Apes

Sound Mixing:
Blade Runner 2049
Darkest Hour
Dunkirk*
Logan
War for the Planet of the Apes

Visual Effects:

Alien: Covenant
Blade Runner 2049
Dunkirk
The Shape of Water*
War for the Planet of the Apes

Original Score:

Dunkirk
Phantom Thread
The Post
The Shape of Water*
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Original Song:

Coco - “Remember Me”*
Cries from Syria - “Prayers for This World”
The Greatest Showman - “This Is Me”
Marshall - “Stand Up for Something”
Mudbound - “Mighty River”

Animated Film:

The Breadwinner
Cars 3
Coco*
The LEGO Batman Movie
Loving Vincent

Foreign Language:

A Fantastic Woman
Foxtrot
In the Fade
Loveless
The Square*

Documentary:

Chasing Coral
Ex Libris
Faces Places
Jane*
Last Men in Aleppo