I'm also ranking who I think will win. The first one is my predicted winner, the bottom pick I'm not holding my breath on winning.
Updated a few categories since my originally publishing.
PICTURE:
1. Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
2. Get Out
3. Lady Bird
4. The Shape of Water
5. Dunkirk
6. Call Me By Your Name
7. The Post
8. Darkest Hour
9. Phantom Thread
DIRECTOR:
1. Guillermo del Toro - The Shape of Water
2. Jordan Peele - Get Out
3. Christopher Nolan - Dunkirk
4. Greta Gerwig - Lady Bird
5. Paul Thomas Anderson - Phantom Thread
LEAD ACTOR:
1. Gary Oldman - Darkest Hour
2. Timothee Chalamat - Call Me By Your Name
3. Daniel Kaluuya - Get Out
4. Daniel Day-Lewis - Phantom Thread
5. Denzel Washington - Roman J. Israel, Esq.
LEAD ACTRESS:
1. Frances McDormand - Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
2. Sally Hawkins - The Shape of Water
3. Saoirse Ronan - Lady Bird
4. Margot Robbie - I, Tonya
5. Meryl Streep - The Post
Truth be told, Lead Actress is basically a four-way tie between the top four. I won't be surprised if any of those wins tonight.
SUPPORTING ACTOR:
1. Sam Rockwell - Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
2. Willem Dafoe - The Florida Project
3. Richard Jenkins - The Shape of Water
4. Woody Harrelson - Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
5. Christopher Plummer - All the Money in the World
SUPPORTING ACTRESS:
1. Allison Janney - I, Tonya
2. Laurie Metcalf - Lady Bird
3. Mary J. Blige - Mudbound
4. Octavia Spencer - The Shape of Water
5. Lesley Manville - Phantom Thread
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY:
1. Get Out
2. Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
3. Lady Bird
4. The Shape of Water
5. The Big Sick
ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
1. Call Me By Your Name
2. Molly's Game
3. The Disaster Artist
4. Mudbound
5. Logan
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ART DIRECTION/PRODUCTION DESIGN:
1. The Shape of Water
2. Dunkirk
3. Blade Runner 2049
4. Beauty and the Beast
5. Darkest Hour
CINEMATOGRAPHY:
1. Blade Runner 2049
2. Dunkirk
3. The Shape of Water
4. Mudbound
5. Darkest Hour
Just give Roger Deakins an Oscar already! Please
COSTUME DESIGN:
1. Phantom Thread
2. Beauty and the Beast
3. The Shape of Water
4. Darkest Hour
5. Victoria & Abdul
FILM EDITING:
1. Baby Driver
2. Dunkirk
3. The Shape of Water
4. Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
5. I, Tonya
HAIR/MAKEUP:
1. Darkest Hour
2. Wonder
3. Victoria & Abdul
SOUND EDITING:
1. Dunkirk
2. The Shape of Water
3. Blade Runner 2049
4. Baby Driver
5. Star Wars: The Last Jedi
SOUND MIXING:
1. Dunkirk
2. The Shape of Water
3. Blade Runner 2049
4. Baby Driver
5. Star Wars: The Last Jedi
VISUAL EFFECTS:
1. Blade Runner 2049
2. War for the Planet of the Apes
3. Star Wars: The Last Jedi
4. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2
5. Kong: Skull Island
ORIGINAL SCORE:
1. The Shape of Water
2. Dunkirk
3. Phantom Thread
4. Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
5. Star Wars: The Last Jedi
ORIGINAL SONG:
1. "Remember Me" - Coco
2. "Stand Up for Something" - Marshall
3. "This Is Me" - The Greatest Showman
4. "Mighty River" - Mudbound
5. "Mystery of Love" - Call Me By Your Name
The top three songs are basically in a three-way tie.
ANIMATED FILM:
1. Coco
2. Loving Vincent
3. The Breadwinner
4. The Boss Baby
5. Ferdinand
FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM:
1. The Square
2. A Fantastic Woman
3. Loveless
4. On Body and Soul
5. The Insult
DOCUMENTARY:
1. Faces Places
2. Icarus
3. Last Men in Aleppo
4. Strong Island
5. Abacus: Small Enough to Jail
I feel so guilty not getting around to watching any of these docs even though some of them are on Netflix.
As for the short films:
Animated: Dear Basketball
Documentary: Edith+Eddie
Live Action: Dekalb Elementary
I don't have much of a system for predicting shorts so I'm basically making the same predictions as Awardscircuit.com. It's a great website about movie news and Oscar buzz. Check them out.
What are your predictions? Share them in the comments.
